In this model, we are building a 'Breakeven' case. Similar to the 'Downside' model, we are stressing management's assumptions to assess how our lend fares given a downturn in business performance.
Unlike the 'Downside' model, we want to stress assumptions until our MOIC is flat at 1.0x. This is the point where we only receive the money we lent, no upside.
Within this model, we are not looking to rely on credit protection from structural features. We really just want to assess how our lend fares in correlation to the business's performance. The rationale is that if we are still comfortable lending after running the 'Breakeven' analysis, then any additional credit protection will just preserve upside.
Goal: complete the template in under 45 minutes, model from a blank sheet in under 1 hour. Try to summarize in 3 sentences or less why this would or would not be a good investment purely based on the output of the model.
Steps:
The_Pulse_LBO_Model_Breakeven_Prompt PC.docx
The_Pulse_LBO_Breakeven_PC.xlsx
The_Pulse_LBO_Breakeven_Answer_PC.xlsx
πPassword: Buysideπ
Tip: You typically won't be provided assumptions to run a Breakeven analysis. You'll simply just be asked to find the Breakeven point. Follow the same guidance provided in our Downside model and stick to stressing core assumptions such as: the exit multiple, revenue growth, and the cost structure.